Game of the Moment: Week 17 (4:00 games)

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In this post, I’ll update the table of games by importance, replacing the odds set by the Vegas line with those estimated by Pro-Football Reference. I will try to update this for each quarter, so check back!

Updated for First Half’s Results: STL-SEA still Game of the Moment; Cardinals-49ers now second

Away Team Home Team Influence on Super Bowl Picture2 Teams Rooting for Away Team, ordered by how much they care3 Teams That Will Be Helped By a Tie and Nothing Else Teams Rooting for Home Team, ordered by how much they care3 Pre-Game Betting Line or In-Game Win Probability Calculator Odds Game Time5
Saint Louis Rams (6‑9) Seattle Seahawks (11‑4) 16.1% 27.2% (27.2%) 26.3% (26.5%) DAL, ARI, GB, DET SEA After Q1, Seahawks have estimated 81% chance of winning game;
after Q2, estimated 51% chance of winning game;
after Q3, estimated 55% chance of winning game
4:25
Arizona Cardinals (11‑4) San Francisco 49ers (7‑8) 3.6% 11.2% (11.2%) 9.5% (10.1%) ARI DAL, SEA, DET, GB After Q1, SF has estimated 72% chance of winning game;
after Q2, Arizona has estimated 54% chance of winning game;
after Q3, SF has estimated 62% chance of winning game
4:25
Detroit Lions (11‑4) Green Bay Packers (11‑4) 16.1% 12% (26.4%) 5% (26.2%) DET, ARI DAL GB After Q1, Packers have estimated 79% chance of winning game;
after Q2, estimated 87% chance of winning game;
after Q3, estimated 95% chance of winning game
4:25
Cincinnati Bengals (10‑4‑1) Pittsburgh Steelers (10‑5) 4.3% (4.5%) 4.1% (4.4%) 3/8% (4.1%) CIN IND PIT, DEN Steelers by 3.5 SNF
Carolina Panthers (6‑8‑1) Atlanta Falcons (6‑9) 9% .8% .2% (10%) CAR ATL After Q1, Panthers have estimated 66% chance of winning game;
after Q2, estimated 98% chance of winning game;
after Q3, estimated >99% chance of winning game
4:25
Oakland Raiders (3‑12) Denver Broncos (11‑4) .8% .5% .1% (6.8%) . CIN DEN After Q1, Broncos have estimated 97% chance of winning game;
after Q2, estimated 98% chance of winning game;
after Q3, estimated >99% chance of winning game
4:25
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